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Captain Smith's avatar

Fair play for having the patience to keep up to date with this conflict, I'm completely checked out (and with Ukraine too). I was following intently back in February, but as it's rumbled on I just can't be bothered. All I'm doing is watching petrol prices, I notice it went up a bit again recently and is in the £1.60s round my way. Still no shortages, everything seems to have just carried on as normal over the summer. Kind of surreal really.

Gaddius's avatar

Same here man. I was kind of shitting bricks when he did the “civilization will die tonight” threat but was relieved when he TACO’d. After that TACO I largely tuned out except for cussing him out every time I fill up.

Captain Smith's avatar

At the start when they killed Khamenei and Iran was retaliating by striking places like Dubai, that was all quite shocking and dramatic. But pretty soon it became clear that the Iranian government wasn't going anywhere, and the US isn't going to invade the country this time to make it happen. So there's a limited amount each side can do to the other. Trump is forced to the negotiating table, but that's unlikely to reach any satisfying conclusion either. If you're Iran, how do you negotiate with people who just want you gone and your nation to turn into a basketcase like Syria?

KlarkashTon's avatar

Great analysis once again, Mr. Morgoth. It seems to me that there may be an even broader conclusion here: A lot of the problems that America as a state has seem to be created by its own doing. It has been pointed out many, many times that, from the point of view of the American people and even the American state itself, starting this war does not make any sense whatsoever. But this general pattern repeats, for example when considering America´s ostensibly biggest geopolitical rival, China. Had it not been for various American policy decisions in the 90s that facilitated and even encouraged industrial outsourcing to China (with the obvious corollary of concurrent American deindustrialization), China would never have become the economic powerhouse and rival to America that it is now. This development cannot have come as a surprise to anybody and yet it was precisely what was done. It appears that the policies of Western governments (and of the American government) are particularly prone to being captured by special interests and especially by finance, which has been the obvious profiteer of industrial outsourcing. Ironically, the policies of the "undemocratic" governments of Russia and China appear much more in line with their people´s wishes and wellbeing than those of the West.

I sometimes wonder whether America could have followed an entirely different political trajectory and perhaps not become a global empire. But I have the faint suspicion that that was never a workable option. Consider that the United States even by 1900 extended all the way to the West Coast and therefore enjoyed protection by the oceans, lots of fertile farmland, ample natural resources and a population trained for industrialization (which was obviously also more homogeneous than now). And yet the Great Depression affected the U.S. more than the European countries, despite America having come out much better (in particular considering debt obligations from France and the UK) from WWI. One may be inclined to believe that it was only with the WW II industry and the subsequent creation of the GAE that economic stability was achieved. I can´t help but think that the post-war situation could have remained economically and politically stable for much longer if certain people had not been financially insatiable and overplayed their hand.

john's avatar

Thank you for another excellent article. I don't have much to say other than "what he said".

Terry Bell's avatar

What did you think of the protest in Dover? I ask as I thought it a good thing but I'm notoriously naive about these things.

Morgoth's avatar

It seems to be a Tommy Robinson-related thing drawing inspiration from protests in Belfast earlier in the year. It's quite possible there's more crossover with the Loyalists in Northern Ireland than we know.

I suppose we'll see where it goes from here.

Terry Bell's avatar

Ah. I see. I like Danny Tommo but Robinson I believe is funded by some guys with motives other than my people's. You know my friend I'm not sure anyone can be trusted anymore, but then I think that was always how the people at the top keep the merry-go-round running.

Sorry, you know I usually try to stay positive but I think we can all see the writing on the wall. For a moment yesterday though I watched those blokes & thought "well done". I'd bet good money though that the state will not allow that to happen again.

Morgoth's avatar

I just saw a clip of Danny Tommo asking people with boats to come forward for an action in the channel. Which, let's be honest, has trouble written all over it.

Terry Bell's avatar

My initial reaction to that is, i admire the guy. But the state will find a way to make him stop permanently very soon.

You know ... something big needs to be done but when it is it'll just give them the excuse to come down on anyone like a ton of bricks. I dunno, I'd like to ask what you think but I don't want to put you in a position of writing anything that could be used against you. Maybe the accelerationists are right, we're pretty much at the point of nothing to lose.

Btw, meant to say you really have been totally vindicated about Farage.

Alligator Kiss's avatar

Interesting piece Mr Morgoth.

If I may lighten things up and take the piss….

Trump will certifiably go insane because of Iran & pressure from the Israel lobby and will shave his head like madman Colonel Walter Kurtz (Marlon Brando) in Ford Coppola’s Apocalypse Now. He will retreat to Mar-A-Locos in a Scottish kilt much like Kurtz retreated to an abandoned Cambodian temple in the jungle. His MAGA base of merry men will follow him to Florida like the mercenaries and indigenous tribes that clung to Kurtz did to the end…

“This is the end, beautiful friend”

(The Doors)

lol

Jules's avatar

Morgoth, what's your take on what's happening down the road from you in Middlesborough? Is this what civil unrest will increasingly look like as under-30s can't get jobs or homes? Is it gang or drug based? Is it race tension? My hunch is that a lot more of this is our future, for too many reasons to name.....

Morgoth's avatar

It's a mix of all of those things. An old mate of mine was there last month, and I asked him about it.

Middlesbrough has been a dump for decades; there's no use in sugarcoating it. Even when it was entirely white, it was severely decayed socially. In recent years, it's had the 'Yookay' treatment layered on top of the rot that already existed.

Remember that during the Southport riots, Middlesbrough was one of the first places to kick off. They've been battered with HMOs because property is so cheap there.

But all you really need to coordinate action these days is a WhatsApp group or Facebook page, so you can coordinate sporadically quite easily. I doubt it'll amount to much than that, though I see there's people in black masks protesting in Dover, an area like Middlesbrough would be prime recruitment material for that type of thing.

Who knows where it all leads.

Captain Smith's avatar

I stayed in Middlesbrough for a few days last year while visiting North Yorkshire. My impression is it has all the same problems as the rest of the country, just more-so. Anecdotally I've met a few older professional types who were from there, but 'got out' and never looked back. Makes me wonder how much brain drain there was with the de-industrialisation. Must be a few things going on there to end up with (apparently) a higher crime rate than London. Seeing the photos of the white boys killed in that car crash, it was 'the chavs' rather than 'the diversity' (though I note one had a Eastern European sounding name). Like a throwback to when Tony Blair was PM.

John Halfpenny's avatar

Morgoth, you may be interested to know the Jerusalem Post is brainstorming ways to recruit a million Americans to topple the Iranian regime.

https://x.com/Villgecrazylady/status/2095176196149391418

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Sep 5
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Morgoth's avatar

I wonder what this will mean for the dollar...

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Sep 5Edited
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Michael L's avatar

One only has to go 20 miles across the Channel to Calais to appreciate that Britain is now a complete basket case, and it is only going to get worse as the global financial collapse approaches. The only solution is to leave and, unfortunately, never come back.

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Sep 5
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